mlb projections
ratings
Power ratings, projected 162-game win totals with 90% ranges, projected runs and pythagorean win rates.
| # | team | power | W-L | proj W | proj W · 90% CI | RS | RA | pyth% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAD | 100 | 100-62 | 100.0 | 100–100 | 5.40 | 4.16 | 61.7% |
| 2 | MIL | 90 | 103-59 | 103.0 | 103–103 | 5.12 | 3.78 | 63.6% |
| 3 | NYY | 85 | 93-68 | 93.0 | 93–93 | 5.27 | 4.48 | 57.4% |
| 4 | BOS | 70 | 87-75 | 87.0 | 87–87 | 4.74 | 4.37 | 53.7% |
| 5 | SD | 70 | 91-71 | 91.0 | 91–91 | 4.89 | 4.27 | 56.2% |
| 6 | CHC | 64 | 89-73 | 89.0 | 89–89 | 4.94 | 4.43 | 54.9% |
| 7 | TB | 64 | 98-64 | 98.0 | 98–98 | 4.90 | 3.89 | 60.5% |
| 8 | PIT | 64 | 82-80 | 82.0 | 82–82 | 4.64 | 4.58 | 50.6% |
| 9 | NYM | 63 | 74-88 | 74.0 | 74–74 | 4.51 | 4.96 | 45.7% |
| 10 | PHI | 62 | 87-74 | 87.0 | 87–87 | 4.71 | 4.35 | 53.7% |
| 11 | DET | 60 | 75-86 | 75.0 | 75–75 | 4.52 | 4.90 | 46.3% |
| 12 | AZ | 56 | 86-76 | 86.0 | 86–86 | 4.79 | 4.48 | 53.1% |
| 13 | CWS | 54 | 84-78 | 84.0 | 84–84 | 4.74 | 4.55 | 51.9% |
| 14 | HOU | 54 | 81-81 | 81.0 | 81–81 | 4.55 | 4.55 | 50.0% |
| 15 | TOR | 51 | 79-83 | 79.0 | 79–79 | 4.49 | 4.61 | 48.8% |
| 16 | ATL | 51 | 94-69 | 94.0 | 94–94 | 5.13 | 4.30 | 58.0% |
| 17 | CLE | 48 | 85-77 | 85.0 | 85–85 | 4.51 | 4.27 | 52.5% |
| 18 | SEA | 47 | 76-86 | 76.0 | 76–76 | 4.46 | 4.77 | 46.9% |
| 19 | BAL | 46 | 79-81 | 79.0 | 79–79 | 4.48 | 4.61 | 48.8% |
| 20 | MIA | 46 | 80-82 | 80.0 | 80–80 | 4.58 | 4.64 | 49.4% |
| 21 | MIN | 43 | 77-85 | 77.0 | 77–77 | 4.42 | 4.66 | 47.5% |
| 22 | TEX | 39 | 80-82 | 80.0 | 80–80 | 4.58 | 4.65 | 49.4% |
| 23 | STL | 38 | 77-84 | 77.0 | 77–77 | 4.51 | 4.76 | 47.5% |
| 24 | WSH | 32 | 77-85 | 77.0 | 77–77 | 4.41 | 4.65 | 47.5% |
| 25 | KC | 32 | 69-93 | 69.0 | 69–69 | 4.34 | 5.11 | 42.6% |
| 26 | CIN | 25 | 75-87 | 75.0 | 75–75 | 4.27 | 4.63 | 46.3% |
| 27 | LAA | 19 | 62-100 | 62.0 | 62–62 | 3.80 | 4.93 | 38.3% |
| 28 | SF | 19 | 66-97 | 66.0 | 66–66 | 3.90 | 4.79 | 40.7% |
| 29 | ATH | 3 | 64-98 | 64.0 | 64–64 | 3.97 | 5.01 | 39.5% |
| 30 | COL | 0 | 58-104 | 58.0 | 58–58 | 3.90 | 5.37 | 35.8% |
power = strength on a 0–100 scale, 50 = an average team
proj W = projected 162-game wins
band = 90% CI (ci5–ci95)
RS/RA = projected runs scored / allowed
pyth% = pythagorean win%