mlb power ratings & 2026 projections
Team Elo (margin-of-victory) fused with a run-differential model → projected offense (OFF), rotation (ROT), bullpen (PEN) and defense (DEF) → 2026 projected 162-game win total with a 90% interval, projected runs scored/allowed, and pythagorean win%. Sorted by composite power rating.
| # | team | power | W–L | proj W | proj W · 90% CI | RS | RA | pyth% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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power = composite power rating
proj W = projected 162-game wins
band = 90% CI (ci5–ci95)
RS/RA = projected runs scored / allowed
pyth% = pythagorean win%